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Trainer Ratings Trainer Form Flat Racing Form for Month 01/2013 02/2013 03/2013 04/2013 05/2013 06/2013 07/2013 08/2013 09/2013 10/2013 11/2013 12/2013 01/2014 02/2014 03/2014 04/2014 05/2014 06/2014 07/2014 08/2014 09/2014 10/2014 11/2014 12/2014 01/2015 02/2015 03/2015 04/2015 05/2015 06/2015 07/2015 08/2015 09/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015 01/2016 02/2016 03/2016 04/2016 05/2016 06/2016 07/2016 08/2016 09/2016 10/2016 11/2016 12/2016 01/2017 02/2017 03/2017 04/2017 05/2017 06/2017 07/2017 08/2017 09/2017 10/2017 11/2017 12/2017 01/2018 02/2018 03/2018 04/2018 05/2018 06/2018 07/2018 08/2018 09/2018 10/2018 11/2018 12/2018 01/2019 02/2019 03/2019 04/2019 05/2019 06/2019 07/2019 08/2019 09/2019 10/2019 11/2019 12/2019 01/2020 02/2020 03/2020 04/2020 05/2020 06/2020 07/2020 08/2020 09/2020 10/2020Form for Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020National Hunt Racing Form for Month 01/2013 02/2013 03/2013 04/2013 05/2013 06/2013 07/2013 08/2013 09/2013 10/2013 11/2013 12/2013 01/2014 02/2014 03/2014 04/2014 05/2014 06/2014 07/2014 08/2014 09/2014 10/2014 11/2014 12/2014 01/2015 02/2015 03/2015 04/2015 05/2015 06/2015 07/2015 08/2015 09/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015 01/2016 02/2016 03/2016 04/2016 05/2016 06/2016 07/2016 08/2016 09/2016 10/2016 11/2016 12/2016 01/2017 02/2017 03/2017 04/2017 05/2017 06/2017 07/2017 08/2017 09/2017 10/2017 11/2017 12/2017 01/2018 02/2018 03/2018 04/2018 05/2018 06/2018 07/2018 08/2018 09/2018 10/2018 11/2018 12/2018 01/2019 02/2019 03/2019 04/2019 05/2019 06/2019 07/2019 08/2019 09/2019 10/2019 11/2019 12/2019 01/2020 02/2020 03/2020 04/2020 05/2020 06/2020 07/2020 08/2020 09/2020 10/2020Form for Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Both Flat and National Hunt Racing Form for Month 01/2013 02/2013 03/2013 04/2013 05/2013 06/2013 07/2013 08/2013 09/2013 10/2013 11/2013 12/2013 01/2014 02/2014 03/2014 04/2014 05/2014 06/2014 07/2014 08/2014 09/2014 10/2014 11/2014 12/2014 01/2015 02/2015 03/2015 04/2015 05/2015 06/2015 07/2015 08/2015 09/2015 10/2015 11/2015 12/2015 01/2016 02/2016 03/2016 04/2016 05/2016 06/2016 07/2016 08/2016 09/2016 10/2016 11/2016 12/2016 01/2017 02/2017 03/2017 04/2017 05/2017 06/2017 07/2017 08/2017 09/2017 10/2017 11/2017 12/2017 01/2018 02/2018 03/2018 04/2018 05/2018 06/2018 07/2018 08/2018 09/2018 10/2018 11/2018 12/2018 01/2019 02/2019 03/2019 04/2019 05/2019 06/2019 07/2019 08/2019 09/2019 10/2019 11/2019 12/2019 01/2020 02/2020 03/2020 04/2020 05/2020 06/2020 07/2020 08/2020 09/2020 10/2020Form for Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Generate Custom Report Flat/NH Racing |
It is well known that some trainers train a lot more winners than others. That might be because they are better trainers, but it might be because they have more horses, or better horses, than the other trainers. Some trainers have many followers, so their horses, tend to have SPs which are shorter than they otherwise would be. Likewise, some trainers have few followers so their horses tend to have SPs which are longer than they otherwise would be. What is important for the backer (or layer) is to know whether the horses of a particular trainer perform better or worse than expected according to the SPs of the horses. For example, do the 10-1 shots of Trainer A tend to perform better or worse than those of Trainer B. These ratings are an attempt to indicate which trainers are better or worse than average, taking into account the SPs of the horses that they train. The ratings are calculated as follows :
Firstly, by analysing a lot of races, I have calculated the average finishing
position of horses at all different values of SP. The finishing
positions are expressed in 3 different ways :
Percentage of Other Horses Beaten. For
example, in an 11 runner race, the winner has beaten 100% of the other
horses, the horse on last place has beaten 0% of the other horses, while
the horse in 6th place has beaten 50% of the other horses (5 in front and
5 behind). It may be that horses with a SP of 2-1 beat 78% of the other
horses on average while horses at 10-1 beat 37%.
Secondly, the finishing position of each of a particular trainer's horses are compared to the average for horses at that SP. Taking an average of these comparisons gives a rating for the trainer. A rating greater than 100 indicates that the trainer who's horses tend to finish in a better position than average, while a rating less than 100 indicates the opposite. Trainers with higher ratings should give better value to the backer. Click on the link on the left for ratings. The Trainer Form links on the left lead to pages giving the recent form of trainers. The Custom Report link allows the performances of an individual trainer, or trainer/jockey combination, to be analysed.
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