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Trainer Ratings Trainer Form Flat Racing Form for Month 01/12 02/12 03/12 04/12 05/12 06/12 07/12 08/12 09/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 01/13 02/13 03/13 04/13 05/13 06/13 07/13 08/13 09/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 01/14 02/14 03/14 04/14 05/14 06/14 07/14 08/14 09/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 01/15 02/15 03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15 10/15 11/15 12/15 01/16 02/16 03/16 04/16 05/16 06/16 07/16 08/16 09/16 10/16 11/16 12/16 01/17 02/17 03/17 04/17 05/17 06/17 07/17 08/17 09/17 10/17 11/17 12/17 01/18 02/18 03/18 04/18 05/18 06/18 07/18 08/18 09/18 10/18 11/18 12/18 01/19 02/19 03/19 04/19 05/19 06/19 07/19 08/19 09/19 10/19 11/19 12/19 01/20 02/20 03/20 04/20 05/20 06/20 07/20Form for Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020National Hunt Racing Form for Month 01/12 02/12 03/12 04/12 05/12 06/12 07/12 08/12 09/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 01/13 02/13 03/13 04/13 05/13 06/13 07/13 08/13 09/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 01/14 02/14 03/14 04/14 05/14 06/14 07/14 08/14 09/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 01/15 02/15 03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15 10/15 11/15 12/15 01/16 02/16 03/16 04/16 05/16 06/16 07/16 08/16 09/16 10/16 11/16 12/16 01/17 02/17 03/17 04/17 05/17 06/17 07/17 08/17 09/17 10/17 11/17 12/17 01/18 02/18 03/18 04/18 05/18 06/18 07/18 08/18 09/18 10/18 11/18 12/18 01/19 02/19 03/19 04/19 05/19 06/19 07/19 08/19 09/19 10/19 11/19 12/19 01/20 02/20 03/20 04/20 05/20 06/20 07/20Form for Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Both Flat and National Hunt Racing Form for Month 01/12 02/12 03/12 04/12 05/12 06/12 07/12 08/12 09/12 10/12 11/12 12/12 01/13 02/13 03/13 04/13 05/13 06/13 07/13 08/13 09/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 01/14 02/14 03/14 04/14 05/14 06/14 07/14 08/14 09/14 10/14 11/14 12/14 01/15 02/15 03/15 04/15 05/15 06/15 07/15 08/15 09/15 10/15 11/15 12/15 01/16 02/16 03/16 04/16 05/16 06/16 07/16 08/16 09/16 10/16 11/16 12/16 01/17 02/17 03/17 04/17 05/17 06/17 07/17 08/17 09/17 10/17 11/17 12/17 01/18 02/18 03/18 04/18 05/18 06/18 07/18 08/18 09/18 10/18 11/18 12/18 01/19 02/19 03/19 04/19 05/19 06/19 07/19 08/19 09/19 10/19 11/19 12/19 01/20 02/20 03/20 04/20 05/20 06/20 07/20Form for Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Generate Custom Report Flat/NH Racing |
It is well known that some trainers train a lot more winners than others. That might be because they are better trainers, but it might be because they have more horses, or better horses, than the other trainers. Some trainers have many followers, so their horses, tend to have SPs which are shorter than they otherwise would be. Likewise, some trainers have few followers so their horses tend to have SPs which are longer than they otherwise would be. What is important for the backer (or layer) is to know whether the horses of a particular trainer perform better or worse than expected according to the SPs of the horses. For example, do the 10-1 shots of Trainer A tend to perform better or worse than those of Trainer B. These ratings are an attempt to indicate which trainers are better or worse than average, taking into account the SPs of the horses that they train. The ratings are calculated as follows :
Firstly, by analysing a lot of races, I have calculated the average finishing
position of horses at all different values of SP. The finishing
positions are expressed in 3 different ways :
Percentage of Other Horses Beaten. For
example, in an 11 runner race, the winner has beaten 100% of the other
horses, the horse on last place has beaten 0% of the other horses, while
the horse in 6th place has beaten 50% of the other horses (5 in front and
5 behind). It may be that horses with a SP of 2-1 beat 78% of the other
horses on average while horses at 10-1 beat 37%.
Secondly, the finishing position of each of a particular trainer's horses are compared to the average for horses at that SP. Taking an average of these comparisons gives a rating for the trainer. A rating greater than 100 indicates that the trainer who's horses tend to finish in a better position than average, while a rating less than 100 indicates the opposite. Trainers with higher ratings should give better value to the backer. Click on the link on the left for ratings. The Trainer Form links on the left lead to pages giving the recent form of trainers. The Custom Report link allows the performances of an individual trainer, or trainer/jockey combination, to be analysed.
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